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Weather Prediction- Kevin Long

All indications are that this year will become one of the 3 or 4 wettest years on record.

Given the current continuing development of La Nina and other other positive sea surface anomalies both to the east and west of Australia rainfall figures in excess of 800mm  are highly likely before the year is out.

I don't expect next year will be as wet as this year but a good winter rain is highly likely next winter.

Solar radiation for the long term future is not looking good for productive rainfall after 2015.

Keep your eye on the website for more details about the declining solar cycles.  These have been the root of the rainfall declines during the last 40 years, together with regional climate change drivers such as The Chinese Effect and the 18.6 year lunar cycle.  

I hope you don't get too flooded to much this year.

Cheers Kevin Long

Click to read more ...


What is climate change?

These gases would absorb heat from the sun and create a warmer atmosphere.

Burning fossil fuels, such as oil, coal and gas, clearing forests and using manufactured gases such as chlorofluorocarbons is thought to increase the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere – the layer of air that surrounds the earth.

For further information please click here


From sweltering to soggy...




VICTORIA went from sweltering to soggy on the weekend as more than a month's rainfall drenched Melbourne in less than 24 hours.

Roads flooded, roofs caved in and drains overflowed as nearly 60mm fell on Melbourne from Saturday afternoon onwards.

After the hottest November on record -- in which Melbourne's average temperature has been 28C, 7C above normal -- Melburnians were yesterday digging out jumpers as the temperature struggling to hit 18C.

But it still provided a welcome boost in a month where only 6.6mm had fallen in the first three weeks.

State Emergency Services answered 180 calls for help on Saturday night, most for leaking roofs, spokesman Allan Briggs said.

Click here to see the full story posted in the Herald Sun


Water Report to the end of October 2008...

Extremely dry weather conditions continued throughout Victoria during October.  Total rainfall was very much below the October long-term average across most of the state.  Eleven rainfall recording sites experienced their lowest October rainfall on record.

There were no changes made to towns on restriction during October. The total number of Victorian towns on restriction as at 31 October 2008 was 327, of which 59 towns were on Stage 1, 35 were on Stage 2, 41 were on Stage 3, 18 on Stage 3a, 77 on Stage 4 with general exemptions, and 97 on Stage 4. Approximately 150 towns were not on water restrictions and were subject to Permanent Water Saving Rules.    

For the full report go to www.vicwater.org.au under the downloads section.

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